From today's "Buzz" in the Sacramento Bee..
Never one to miss an opportunity to make himself better known, state Insurance Commissioner John Garamendi sent thousands of holiday postcards featuring a picture of his large family. On the reverse, Garamendi wished the best for the recipients, noted the problems facing California and added there is a "great opportunity" to solve them.
"I want to meet this challenge," Garamendi wrote. "Therefore, in 2006, I will be a candidate for lieutenant governor. ... I need and appreciate your continued support and friendship." Garamendi included his campaign Web site address and the dates and locations of upcoming campaign events.
As it stands right now, here are the MAJOR candidates for Lt. Governor in 2006:
State Senator
Tom McClintock (Republican)
State Insurance Commissioner
John Garamendi (Democrat)
California Congressman
Darrel Issa (Republican; not announced as of yet)
In a recent poll taken surrounding 'name recognition', McClintock had a solid lead over every and any competitor. McClintock gathered 40-45% of the poll's vote on name recognition.
McClintock gained much of his 'name recognition' during the Recall Election of 2003, when he ran against Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger and Democrat (current Lt. Governor) Cruz Bustamante. The Senator was able to capture 13% of the vote and finish third.
McClintock became the darling of the nation's attention...
The senator was able to run 'hidden from the press' during the race.
The real battle was between Schwarznegger and Bustamante. The media decided to make things interesting and they 'used' Senator McClintock as a 'hammer' for Schwarzenegger, attempting to split the vote(s) and keep a 'tax and spend, union friend' Democrat in the governor's office.
McClintock also received thousands of dollars from Indian Tribes (Gambling) to stay in the race, a move that has caused him some big problems on the conservative side of the aisle in the Capitol.
If Senator Tom McClintock wins the Republican Primary...
The questions for Senator McClintock will be how will the press treat him in a statewide election against a liberal Democrat like Garamendi, and when will the press launch on his very conservative ideology?
The combination of the Democrats 'union money' (large campaign cash account), a statewide majority (ever so slightly shrinking) in voter registration, the overwhelming acceptance of liberal, if not progressive social issues and the support of the state's huge liberal media could prove to be too much of a hurdle for the solid state senator in one-on-one battle with an incumbent Democrat.
Lest we forget the senator's bent to be the Republican Party's "Arnold Antagonist" at ever turn...
Will McClintock receive the type of support needed from Arnold Schwarzenegger to compete and WIN a statewide race for Sacramento? Will Arnold desire an antagonists next door in the "Belly of the Beast"?
It should be a very interesting GOP Primary for this office. One advantage that McClintock will have is an initiative in 2005 for the reformation of the districts come 2006.
If this passes, I'm believing that Senator McClintock will have his best chance EVER in winning a statewide election for the Republican Party...
uh, make that 'winning a statewide election for the senator'.
Check out my NEW BLOG site called HOGUE BLOG for all of my comments and opinions from the "Belly of the Beast"
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Published: December 27, 2004, 11:43 am |
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